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A Trillion
Here
A Trillion
There...Soon It Will Add Up To Real Money.
Educational Editorials©
by William M Wright BBA, MBA
The national debt now exceeds $9.8 trillion as of 9-25-2008.
You can check the debt to the penny every day at PublicDebt.Treas.Gov/opd
Neither Presidential candidate will talk much about the ticking time bomb called: National Debt for two reasons #1: No candidate’s strong suit is Economics or Balancing Budgets. #2: No one ever got elected telling people we need to fix that problem (just ask Ross Perot).
Fixing the problem involves spending less or taxing more. We all know no one wants less government benefits or to pay more taxes. The sad truth is the solution will need to involve less benefits and more taxes.
The debt is comprised of savings bonds, treasury bills and other bonds offered for sale by the US government at a specific interest rate established at the time the bonds were sold.
According to the US Treasury Department website, 57% of the debt is owned by the public and 43% is owned by US government agencies.
Public owners include banks, private investors, pension funds, mutual fund companies, insurance companies, and state, local or foreign governments.
Government agencies holding the debt include the Social Security trust fund, Federal employee retirement funds, and other trust funds (transportation, housing, etc). Like any other investor, these government agencies earn interest on the bonds and treasury bills that they hold.
You can look up the US National Debt for any date or time period at the same website link above. For instance, at the end of Jimmy Carter's presidency, in 1981, the debt was just under $1 trillion (and we thought that was a horrible economic period). But it was at $4.4 trillion when the first President Bush left office and at $5.7 trillion when Bill Clinton left office -even after three years of fat federal government budget surplus!
It is true that much of the debt is owed to Americans by Americans, but it does not cancel out. Those citizens and institutions that own the debt certificates (notes, bonds etc.) are gainers (savers) and those who do not are losers (debtors). Additionally, much of the debt is owned by the Social Security Trust Fund and other government agencies that the treasury does not even pay interest to. That's one of the reasons the social security trust fund is in trouble and another reason baby-boomers are upset with talk of more future social security cuts.
Japan, China, and Britain own most of the debt by lending us money through buying US Treasury Bonds. By buying the bonds, they loan us money that must be paid back with interest. We are relying heavily on other nations to maintain our economic stability in the face of tax cuts and record federal deficits. Congress and President Bush seem happy to continue postponing serious decisions about fiscal policy as long as foreign treasuries buy U.S. debt.
But the more unnecessary debts we pile up, the harder it will be to return to fiscal responsibility.
We owe Japan nearly $600 billion. We owe China over $500 billion and Great Britain nearly $300 billion. We even owe Brasil over $100 billion. Yes, Brazil the most indebted nation of the 70's with a decade of hyper-inflation.
Those who loan us money are not the enemy. In fact their faith in our economic stability and ability to repay debt help keep interest rates low for a generation of American debt borrowers.
But many baby-boomers who paid 8-12% for mortgage rates for over a decade (with a paid-in- full mortgage) are upset with a U.S. government monetary policy that is rewarding spenders with easy access to low 3-6% rates while penalizing savers with low 1-3% MMF rates.
The size of the national debt is one issue and the debt service cost is another. Today’s debt service to the lenders is the big concern. The debt service i.e., the interest the treasury must pay on the debt (like the minimum payment on your credit card bill). As the debt increases and the interest increases, the debt service rises as the product of the two.
The debt service is now about 10% of the federal budget. Those interest payments must be paid from your taxes and must come out of funds that would otherwise be available for social security, national infrastructure improvements and social services.
And remember much of the debt is owned by the Social Security Trust Fund and other government agencies that the treasury does not pay interest to!
Is it any wonder why baby-boomers and their employers who paid billions into social security are upset with the governments own fiscal irresponsibility?